Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 18.258997 20.851463 23.810182 27.464872 31.896815 37.147755 43.915948
2025-08-03 15.246781 18.582645 22.742825 28.413849 36.107454 46.435538 61.811373
2025-08-10 13.071168 16.590090 21.232670 27.986505 37.885057 52.429107 76.613154
2025-08-17 11.544783 15.112709 20.029209 27.560610 39.320210 57.978616 92.223065
2025-08-24 10.443421 14.026941 19.148901 27.351345 40.895067 63.944532 110.422302
2025-08-31 9.428627 12.924382 18.069137 26.611494 41.388784 68.095025 126.664865
2025-09-07 8.695932 12.145590 17.362163 26.324355 42.538544 73.634074 147.972138
2025-09-14 7.864170 11.132559 16.172823 25.051068 41.658470 74.981942 160.253589
2025-09-21 7.131753 10.208715 15.031759 23.707604 40.404535 75.249337 170.000454
2025-09-28 6.614823 9.580396 14.309742 23.010115 40.277944 77.908657 187.542575
2025-10-05 6.827885 10.129317 15.585203 26.105906 48.410639 101.893858 284.792229
2025-10-12 6.657638 10.032264 15.741022 27.101033 52.297727 116.953866 366.495311
2025-10-19 6.210823 9.453945 15.024253 26.340443 52.209413 121.748556 414.482994
2025-10-26 6.036877 9.328714 15.113157 27.239470 56.283911 140.328507 549.274360
2025-11-02 5.708370 8.908377 14.616393 26.835150 57.038960 149.029767 646.893318
2025-11-09 5.411216 8.522000 14.148772 26.432152 57.720590 157.878127 762.024417
2025-11-16 5.164844 8.209254 13.794401 26.234095 58.922273 169.231723 920.120754
2025-11-23 4.882884 7.814019 13.247981 25.533663 58.585107 174.752238 1046.721066
2025-11-30 4.670112 7.532423 12.903618 25.261732 59.443806 185.615837 1257.139182
2025-12-07 4.375981 7.084289 12.195863 24.055264 57.299363 182.985224 1319.674434
2025-12-14 4.094891 6.647489 11.485806 22.781175 54.762228 177.878789 1346.796687
2025-12-21 3.893892 6.351415 11.044225 22.119233 54.031037 180.883884 1497.117226
2025-12-28 4.045829 6.729175 12.012014 25.054818 65.542666 250.926356 3230.210676